What Is Card Counting In Blackjack

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You've likely seen movies where card counters make big profits. Although such film scenes are unrealistic, they at least show that skilled counters do win money.

Blackjack Card Counting. Counting cards is the most popular and possibly the most practical way to get an edge when playing blackjack. It's a completely legal. Unbalanced card-counting system - is a system that uses the count of a cards one by one as they are dealt and is used in a 1-deck blackjack game. Balanced card-counting system - is a system that applies the method of Unbalanced card counting and modifies.

But one thing you never see in these movies is somebody sitting at home and making thousands of dollars through online blackjack. In fact, it's widely assumed that card counting doesn't work at online casinos.

You may be surprised to find out, though, that card counting actually is possible at gaming sites. However, the real question is if it's profitable.

I'm going to cover the stigma against online card counting and why it's feasible in certain cases. I'll finish by discussing if the profits make it worth your time to be an internet card counter.

What Are the Basics of Card Counting?

The very essence of card counting is to determine when you have a stronger chance of getting a natural blackjack. Assuming you're playing at a table with favorite rules, then you'll receive a 3:2 payout on your original bet (some tables only offer 6:5).

Your chances of getting a natural blackjack increase greatly when the shoe has a larger percentage of aces and 10s compared to other card values. You'll theoretically gain more value by increasing your bet size at this point.

Of course, you won't naturally know when these situations are present. But card counting gives you a tool for figuring out when the shoe is rich in aces and 10s.

The first thing you need to count cards is a system. Many different counting systems exist, and they differ based on their accuracy and complexity.

The Hi-Lo offers a happy medium between accuracy and ease of use. But the jest of the Hi-Lo is that you assign values to each card that comes out. Here are the point values for each type of card:

  • Aces, face cards, and 10s (high cards) = -1
  • 7, 8, and 9 = 0 (neutral)
  • 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6 (low cards) = +1

You want fewer low cards in the shoe, which is why your positive count increases when they come out.

The Hi-Lo also calls on you to account for how many decks are left in a shoe with a 'true count.' You do this by dividing your 'running count' by the estimated amount of remaining decks.

Here's an example:

  • Your running count is +6.
  • You estimate that two decks are left.
  • 6 / 2 = +3 true count

You can increase your bet size as the positive true count grows. A simple way to do this is by:

  • Flat betting with a count of 0 or +1.
  • Increasing your minimum bet 5x with a count of +2.
  • Increasing your minimum bet 10x with a count of +3 or higher.

Why Online Card Counting Usually Doesn't Work

One more aspect to card counting in blackjack that I haven't discussed is deck penetration. This term refers to how many decks a casino deals before reshuffling the shoe.

Here's an example:

  • You're playing at a table with an eight-deck shoe.
  • Five of the eight decks have been dealt.
  • 5 / 8 = 62.5% deck penetration

You want higher deck penetration, because this allows you to place bigger bets with more confidence. A +2 or +3 true count is much more accurate when only one deck remains, versus five or six.

Generally, 75% deck penetration is considered ideal for placing big bets with a positive true count.

Of course, many casinos reshuffle before this point in order to thwart card counters.

Other casinos allow more deck penetration, because they don't want to slow down games by constantly reshuffling. They figure that lost hands are most costly than simply giving a few counters a bigger advantage.

Online casinos don't have to worry about lost hands when reshuffling decks. Their software-based (a.k.a. virtual) tables can automatically reshuffle a shoe with no time wasted.

Online gaming providers program their blackjack games to reshuffle with very little deck penetration. You have absolutely no chance to gain an advantage in these cases.

Of course, you could slightly improve your odds if a casino allowed, say, 25% penetration. But this amount isn't enough to count with any confidence and swing the odds in your favor.

The low deck penetration in online blackjack games is why card counting doesn't work at virtual tables.

Some Live Dealer Casinos Allow More Deck Penetration

Many online casinos offer live dealer blackjack, which features a human dealer and real cards. These tables operate just like a normal land-based casino would, with the exception that the action is being streamed through your internet device.

Assuming the conditions were perfect, live blackjack would be the best way to count cards. After all, you could sit at home and count without drawing as much suspicion from pit bosses and floor supervisors.

Of course, online casinos aren't dumb. They know their live tables are susceptible to being beaten through card counting.

Dealers are instructed to shuffle shoes before too much deck penetration is allowed. They're not going to deal through 75% of the shoe and give you an easy chance to count.

On the other hand, live casinos also need to worry about over-shuffling. Too much shuffling costs hands, meaning the casino has fewer chances to let its house edge take effect.

Some live dealer casino games allow up to 50% deck penetration before reshuffling. You can theoretically gain a tiny advantage in these situations.

I mentioned earlier that at least 75% penetration is ideal. But 50% is just enough to where you can earn a little money over time.

You can visit different live dealer casinos and watch their games to figure out the deck penetration. Take notes on the different percentages in order to find sites that are more susceptible to counting.

What Is the Profitability of Live Dealer Card Counting?

The problem with counting in the aforementioned live blackjack games is that it's just not very profitable. At best, you're looking at earning a small amount of profits over time.

You also need to be able to use a large 'spread,' which is the distance from the minimum bet to your highest wager.

Here's an example:

  • You're playing at a table with $5 minimum bets.
  • You increase your wager to $75 with a true count of +3.
  • 75 / 5 = 15
  • Your bet spread is 1-15.

Pro counters generally use between a 1-10 and 1-15 bet spread. But they must be careful, because such large spreads are a telltale sign of a counter.

You need to thoroughly research which land-based casinos allow this type of action without immediately tossing you. Some Las Vegas casinos are more lenient than others.

Gaming sites with live blackjack are generally very lenient with bet spreads. After all, they're not allowing enough penetration to where you'll gain a big advantage.

What is card counting in blackjack cards

But you need around a 1-30 spread to get an edge with just 50% penetration. If the table minimum bet were $5, for example, you'd be betting $150 with a +3 true count.

Some online casinos might allow this. Others may eventually ban you if they monitor your play and deem you to be a bad customer.

You can of course 'wong in,' which involves counting while sitting out and entering games at favorable points. 'Wonging' prevents you from having to play unprofitable hands until detecting a positive count.

Even if you wong in and use a 1-30 spread, you won't make much money with live dealer card counting. 50% deck penetration is just too low to earn reliable profits.

Another problem is that you'll have to dedicate a lot of time for such little payoff. Online card counting is nothing more than a low-paying hobby in the long run.

Conclusion

Counting cards at live dealer casinos can result in minimum profits with 50% deck penetration. But you'll never make any serious money with this practice.

You might be lucky to earn a few dollars an hour, even with a 1-30 bet spread and wonging. These tiny profits hardly seem worth the effort.

Live dealer counting can be a fun hobby. It's also a nice way to prepare for counting cards at a brick and mortar venue.

Just be aware that you won't be able to use such large spreads at a land-based casino. You might even attract suspicion at some live dealer tables for doing so.

Also, wonging isn't permitted at most brick and mortar establishments. Casinos have a 'no mid-shoe entry' rule to prevent this from happening.

Nevertheless, land-based casinos are better for profitable card counting. Live dealer sites, meanwhile, are just fun places to hone your counting skills while potentially earning a little money.

Gamblers have been fascinated by card counting ever since Edward Thorp shared his secrets through the 1962 book Beat the Dealer. This advantage-play technique has only gained further popularity over the years thanks to the MIT Blackjack Team's efforts.

Card counting is an exciting prospect because you can win lots of money. Both Thorp and the MIT Blackjack Team are prime examples of this.

But before you start earning big profits like these blackjack legends, you must first choose a counting system.

This is easier said than done, given that there are over one hundred card systems floating around. These strategies differ based on what kind of advantage they give you and how complicated they are.

Obviously, you don't want to jump into the most difficult system if you're new to card counting. Instead, a beginner-friendly strategy will help you learn this process with the minimum degree of difficulty.

Keep reading as I cover three of the easiest blackjack card counting systems for beginners. But first, let's look at the basics behind counting cards.

What's the General Basis Behind Card Counting?

Many gamblers like blackjack because it offers a chance to use extensive strategy to improve your winnings. Depending on the rules, you can lower the blackjack house edge to under 1% with good strategy.

But the key here is that the casino still has an advantage over those who use basic blackjack strategy. This is where card counting comes into play, because this strategy gives you the advantage and can lead to long-term profits.

The underlying goal of card counting is to find out when the shoe is rich in aces and tens. The reason is twofold:

1 – You have a better chance of getting a natural blackjack payout.

2 – Your odds of quality double-down opportunities also improve.

Another positive product of card counting is that you can find out when the deck is high in low cards (2 – 6) and bet less.

Low cards improve the dealer's odds of winning. The reason is because the dealer's score must reach 17, and they have less chance of busting when there are more low cards available.

By keeping track of card values as they're dealt, you can boost your chances of winning and potentially making big profits.

Of course, tracking cards in a bustling casino environment is easier said than done. This is especially the case when considering that modern blackjack games have six to eight decks in the shoe.

But just about anybody can successfully count cards with enough practice. And you can easily practice by using card counting trainers on websites.

Other ways to practice include dealing shoes to yourself while counting cards, or having a friend deal to you. I like the latter method because it simulates your friend being the dealer and you as the player.

Spreading Bets

Simply counting cards is only part of the equation to making money. You also have to bet more when the count is in your favor to reap profits.

This is referred to as 'spreading bets' in card counting. The idea is to start at the table minimum, then increase your wager as the count goes in your favor.

The bet spread occurs between your smallest and largest bets.

Some systems have their own method for how you spread wagers during a favorable count. But the gist is that you must raise your wagers when the deck is in your favor, so you earn more money.

This requires a balancing act because wagering too much will attract the suspicion of casino staff members and potentially get you banned.

Experience and fully knowing your chosen card counting method will help you determine how to best spread bets when you have a favorable count.

3 Systems that Beginning Card Counters should Use

1 – OPP System

I begin with the OPP card counting system since it's extremely easy to use. In fact, virtually any new blackjack player can quickly learn and understand this system.

The main thing you need to do with the OPP strategy is track low cards. You add one to your count whenever a low card is dealt and subtract one for every hand in play (including the dealer).

Low cards being dealt works to your advantage, because this means there are fewer cards that'll help the dealer.

Here's an example of how to use this strategy:

  • You start the shoe with a +6 count.
  • You subtract one (- 1) for every player dealt into the hand, including the dealer.
  • You add one (+1) for every low card that's dealt.
  • The goal is to bet more when the count goes higher into the positives.
  • You want to increase your wager when the count reaches +12 or +14.

Here's an example of OPP in action:

  1. A new shoe is being dealt.
  2. Your count starts at +6.
  3. There are four players, plus the dealer (subtract 5 = count at +1).
  4. Four low cards come out during the hand (Add 4 = count at +5).
  5. Your next round will begin at +5 (minus number of players in the hand).

This is referred to as an 'unbalanced' counting system because the count doesn't end at zero when the shoe has been dealt. Going further, you don't have to account for how many decks are in the shoe with an unbalanced system.

This differs from the Hi-Lo strategy (discussed next), where you must factor in the remaining decks to determine your 'true count.'

Another great thing about the OPP system is that you don't have to track high cards (A to 10) or neutral cards (7 to 9). Instead, you simply count low cards and subtract the number of players/dealer at the start of each hand.

The only downside to OPP's simplicity is that it's less accurate than the other systems I'm going to cover. Nevertheless, it can give you an edge on the casino.

2 – Knockout (KO) System

The KO system is more complicated than OPP because you also need to track high and neutral cards. Another difference is that the low card category includes 7.

Here are the different card groups and how you assign them values:

  • Low cards (2 to 7) = +1
  • Neutral cards (8 to 9) = 0
  • High cards (A to 10) = – 1

You need to track every card with this system – not just the low ones like with OPP.

Another difference between KO and OPP is that there's no preset starting count (+6) at the beginning of a shoe. Instead, your count begins as soon as the first card of a shoe is dealt.

Here's an example of the KO in play:

  • Ace is dealt (count at – 1).
  • 2 is dealt (count at 0).
  • 7 is dealt (count at +1).
  • 8 is dealt (count at +1).
  • 4 is dealt (count at +2).
  • Jack is dealt (count at +1).
  • Count = +1.

This is another unbalanced system because there are a greater number of low cards than high cards. Therefore, you don't need to convert to a true count with KO.

The lack of a true count makes KO simpler than the Hi-Lo system that I'll cover next.

Another benefit of KO is that it's more accurate than OPP. This gives you the perfect blend of simplicity and accuracy.

But this also leads to downsides, including that KO is more complicated than OPP and less accurate than Hi-Lo.

3 – Hi-Lo System

This card counting strategy is similar to KO, because you need to track low, neutral, and high cards. But the two key differences are that 7 is neutral, and you need to differentiate between a running and true count.

Here's how you assign values to each group of cards:

  • Low cards (2 to 6) = +1
  • Neutral cards (7 to 9) = 0
  • High cards (A to 10) = – 1

The Hi-Lo is what's known as a 'balanced system,' because the count will always reach zero by the end of the shoe.

The reason why Hi-Lo is balanced and KO isn't is due to the 7 being neutral. This means that an equal number of cards are high (5) and low (5) with the Hi-Lo strategy.

Given that Hi-Lo is balanced, you also have to account for the number of decks remaining in the shoe. Going further, you must convert your running count into a true count.

Here's an example:

  • Your running count is +8.
  • There are four decks remaining in the shoe.
  • This makes your true count +2 (8/2).

You use your true count to determine how much you'll spread your bet by. Here are the guidelines for spreading your wagers with the Hi-Lo:

1 – Determine a unit size (e.g., $25).

2 – Figure out your true count (e.g., +4).

3 – Subtract one from the true count (4 – 1 = 3). Secrets of the forest slot.

4 – Multiply this number by your unit size (25 x 3 = 75).

5 – Your bet should be three units, or $75.

The Hi-Lo is definitely tougher than KO and OPP due to the added steps. But from an overall perspective, Hi-Lo is relatively easy when compared to the dozens of other counting systems available.

Other Easy Card Counting Systems for Beginners

Ace/Five Count System

The price is right slot. Ace/Five is a simple strategy that only requires keeping track of 5-value cards and aces. You add one for every 5 that's dealt, and subtract one for every ace.

The goal is to get a positive count of +2 or higher. You double your bets at this point, while only wagering the table minimum when the count is +1 or lower.

What Is Card Counting In Blackjack Poker

Here's an example:

  • Ace is dealt (count at – 1).
  • 2 is dealt (count at – 1).
  • 5 is dealt (count at 0).
  • 9 is dealt (count at 0).
  • 5 is dealt (count at +1).
  • Count = +1

Given that Ace/Five only requires you to track two card values, it's similar to OPP in terms of simplicity. But like OPP, this strategy isn't as effective as some of the other systems discussed here.

But if you're just a casual blackjack player who wants to gain a bit more of an edge, then I recommend trying Ace/Five.

Red Seven System

Red Seven was developed by blackjack legend and card counter extraordinaire Arnold Snyder. This system works similar to KO and Hi-Lo, except that there's a special distinction made for red and black 7s.

Here are the basics of Red Seven:

  • 2 to 6 = +1
  • Red 7 = +1
  • Black 7 = 0
  • 8 to 9 = 0
  • A to 10 = – 1

You can actually switch the counts for the red and black seven – it makes no difference. But the key is that you do make a distinction between the colors.

Snyder did this so he could create an imbalanced system that was easy to use with no true count involved. But he also wanted to make Red Seven more accurate than KO (black 7s being neutral).

Red Seven is great if you hate converting your running count to a true count, but still want the accuracy of a balanced system.

The downside to this strategy is that it's almost as complicated as the Hi-Lo, yet you only get 80% of the same accuracy.

Ten Count System

Edward Thorp introduced the Ten Count System when he wrote Beat the Dealer in the sixties. Although not as accurate as modern strategies like Hi-Lo, the Ten Count gets the job done in certain situations.

The catch, though, is that Ten Count is designed specifically for single-deck blackjack games. And unfortunately, quality single-deck blackjack with 3:2 natural payouts are a rarity today.

Nevertheless, Ten Count is a good system to use when acclimating yourself to card counting. Here are the basics of this strategy:

  • A to 9 = +4
  • J to K = – 9

This is noticeably different from the three systems that I covered above. But Ten Count is still relatively easy for beginners to use.

What Does Counting Cards Mean

Here's an example of how you can implement the strategy:

  • 5 is dealt (count at +4).
  • 6 is dealt (count at +8).
  • K is dealt (count at -1).
  • 8 is dealt (count at +3).
  • 3 is dealt (count at +7).
  • Count = +7

Unlike some systems, Ten Count doesn't have a defined amount where you begin increasing your bet by X amount. Instead, Thorp leaves it up to players to decide how much to increase or lower their bets by.

I suggest spreading your bets by five units or more when you have a favorable count of at least +2.

The advantage of Thorp's system is that it's easy. You only have to track two card groups and use two numbers for the count.

The downside is that this strategy is poor for multi-deck games.

All blackjack tables featured single-deck games in Thorp's early blackjack days. Therefore, he didn't account for the effect of removing aces from a six-deck shoe.

Lumping aces into the low card group is fine in single-deck blackjack because it doesn't have as big of an impact. But this miscalculation plays a bigger role in the four-, six-, and eight-deck games of today.

Again, Ten Count is fine for practicing card counting. But it doesn't apply to the modern blackjack world.

Is Card Counting Illegal?

A popular misconception is that card counting is illegal. This has been fueled by Hollywood movies like 21, where card counters act like their lives depend on not being detected by the casino.

The truth is that counting cards isn't illegal. But casinos may ban you from their establishment if they think you're a successful counter.

What Is Card Counting In Blackjack For Real

The easiest way for casinos to root out a card counter is by their betting patterns. For example, moving from a $10 minimum bet to $500 later in the shoe looks very suspicious.

Some players camouflage their counting efforts through the following ways:

How Do You Count Cards

  • Make an occasional strategy mistake.
  • Dress to blend in.
  • Act like they increase and lower bets based on superstitions.

It also helps to research casinos to find out how tolerant they are towards card counters. Some casinos don't sweat counters as badly as others.

Do You Have to Be a Genius to Count Cards?

The 1988 film Rain Man created the perception that you need to be a mathematical genius to successfully count cards. But as you may have gathered from these simple systems we covered above, this isn't accurate.

Raymond Babbitt (Dustin Hoffman) kept track of every single card while counting in Rain Man. But you only need to keep a running tally of the card values to give yourself an edge.

Blackjack Card Counting Techniques

As I mentioned earlier, nearly anybody can learn to count cards – especially with the systems covered above. Furthermore, you don't need to be a genius to keep an accurate count.

Conclusion

The nice thing about card counting is that it's not as difficult as most players think. You can quickly learn one of the systems that I discussed above and use it to give yourself an advantage.

How big of an edge you gain depends upon the exact strategy you choose. My favorite is the Hi-Lo, due to its combination of simplicity and accuracy.

But you may ultimately choose a system like OPP, KO, or Ace/Five because you just want an easy way to count cards.

Whatever the case may be, I highly suggest that you use one of the strategies covered here to give yourself an easy introduction to the card counting world.





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